Portuguesa 1-1 Botafogo PB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo PB EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.88/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-33% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -61%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Portuguesa vs Botafogo PB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa and Botafogo PB shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Portuguesa vs Botafogo PB?

Portuguesa 1-1 Botafogo PB in the Brazil - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa vs Botafogo PB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa 38%, draw 30%, Botafogo PB 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portuguesa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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