Sousa 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sousa EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 62%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.34
+42% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -56%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 31.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sousa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bragantino
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.00 xG 1.59
31% Ball Possession 69%
0 Total Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
179 Passes 498
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
1 Box Touches 33
4 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2024 Bragantino 3-0 HT 1-0 Sousa Sousa BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sousa
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.27 xG 0.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
147 Passes 299
57% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sousa vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sousa and Bragantino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sousa had 41% of the ball to Bragantino's 59%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.27 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Sousa vs Bragantino?

Sousa 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sousa vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sousa 21%, draw 29%, Bragantino 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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