Rio Branco 1-3 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
46%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.9
Over 2.5
34%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
46%
Away Win
60%
-14.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
49%
+17.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
51%
-17.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Branco EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Rio Branco vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino saw off Rio Branco 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rio Branco vs Novorizontino?

Rio Branco 1-3 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Branco vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rio Branco 24%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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