Al Orubah 0-3 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
61%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
61%
Away Win
72%
-10.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 77%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.70/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.99
-97% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
228 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 86%
8.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
11.4 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Orubah
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.48 xG 3.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
180 Passes 475
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.10.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
13.03.2015 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
28.09.2014 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
25.01.2014 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
0-3
AWAY Al Nassr
0.28 xG 1.81
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 8
160 Passes 538
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 50
4 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Al Orubah 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Orubah had 28% of the ball to Al Nassr's 72%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.28 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Orubah and 2.25 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Al Nassr?

Al Orubah 0-3 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 17%, draw 22%, Al Nassr 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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