Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
4-2
HT 3-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-3 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah edged past Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 64% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 36%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.94 to 2.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.17 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-3 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 44%, draw 30%, Al Ahli Jeddah 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.