Rayo Zuliano 1-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
1.57/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.2 Crosses 12.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
284 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.07.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
03.02.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 3-1 HT 2-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
21.08.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
20.03.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
1-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.59 xG 0.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
330 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano edged past Portuguesa FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayo Zuliano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 52% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 48%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.59 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.00 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC?

Rayo Zuliano 1-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 41%, draw 29%, Portuguesa FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Zuliano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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