Darlington 1883 2-0 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.59
Over Pick
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.32
2-3
37%
1.96
4-5
30%
2.5
6+
14%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.08/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.14
+9% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bedford Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2025 Bedford Town Bedford Town 3-4 HT 1-2 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-0
AWAY Bedford Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 got the better of Bedford Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 48% of the ball to Bedford Town's 52%, shots finished 20-12.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town?

Darlington 1883 2-0 Bedford Town in the England - Conference on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 57%, draw 16%, Bedford Town 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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