Salisbury 0-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.24
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
23%
3.27
6+
7%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
1.13/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2025 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
01.03.2025 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-2 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
17.12.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United edged past Salisbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Salisbury and 2.00 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Maidstone United?

Salisbury 0-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 29%, draw 22%, Maidstone United 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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