Maidstone United 3-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.82
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
20%
3.7
6+
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Maidstone United win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.60/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.74
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.12.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
3-2
AWAY Salisbury
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United nicked a narrow win over Salisbury 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidstone United had 69% of the ball to Salisbury's 31%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Salisbury?

Maidstone United 3-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 55%, draw 24%, Salisbury 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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