Buxton 1-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.14/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.96
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
188 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 2-3 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
23.12.2023 Buxton Buxton 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
30.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-3 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
09.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-2 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
1-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton and Scunthorpe United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Buxton had 48% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 52%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Buxton and 0.75 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Scunthorpe United?

Buxton 1-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Buxton 32%, draw 31%, Scunthorpe United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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