Weymouth 3-3 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.33/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and AFC Hornchurch couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs AFC Hornchurch?

Weymouth 3-3 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 28%, draw 27%, AFC Hornchurch 45%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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