Chelmsford City 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.31/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.64
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Worthing
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Worthing Worthing 1-1 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.03.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
06.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
18.03.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
26.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-2
AWAY Worthing
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Chelmsford City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Worthing found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 44% of the ball to Worthing's 56%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.40 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Worthing?

Chelmsford City 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 38%, draw 27%, Worthing 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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