Worthing 1-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
2.24/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.04
+62% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
06.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
18.03.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
26.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing and Chelmsford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Worthing had 72% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 28%, shots finished 16-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Worthing and 2.50 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Chelmsford City?

Worthing 1-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Worthing 41%, draw 23%, Chelmsford City 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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