Worthing 2-3 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +32%
2.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.34
+29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
26.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-3
AWAY Chelmsford City
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City squeezed past Worthing 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Worthing had 59% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 41%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Worthing and 3.50 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Chelmsford City?

Worthing 2-3 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Worthing 50%, draw 24%, Chelmsford City 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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