Maidstone United 1-0 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.86
Over
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.14
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.47
6+
7%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.42
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-2 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
17.12.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United edged past Salisbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Maidstone United and 1.00 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Salisbury?

Maidstone United 1-0 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 53%, draw 26%, Salisbury 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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