St. Johnstone vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Johnstone v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals
St. Johnstone vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Johnstone took care of Ayr United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for St. Johnstone against 1.33 for Ayr United.
St. Johnstone vs Ayr United Result & Final Score
St. Johnstone 3 - 1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Johnstone vs Ayr United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 61%, draw 23%, Ayr United 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.