Ilkeston Town 3-2 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.5pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.73/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.28
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebburn Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
18.11.2025 Hebburn Town 5-0 HT 3-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
05.04.2025 Hebburn Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
30.11.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Hebburn Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town squeezed past Hebburn Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Ilkeston Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ilkeston Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ilkeston Town and 2.33 for Hebburn Town.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Hebburn Town?

Ilkeston Town 3-2 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 35%, draw 30%, Hebburn Town 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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