Degerfors 1-1 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 23%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.80
-39% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +117%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.56 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
390 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 22
33 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
21.07.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
04.12.2021 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
03.07.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
17.08.2015 Degerfors Degerfors 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.06.2015 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-2 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors and Östersunds FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Degerfors and 1.00 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Östersunds FK?

Degerfors 1-1 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Cup on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 50%, draw 22%, Östersunds FK 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Degerfors), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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