Degerfors 2-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 31 Aug 2024

Degerfors
2-0 HT 1-0
Östersunds FK
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Degerfors vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 23% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.0
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
12%
5.44
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
10%
7.63
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
2.03/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.43
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Degerfors vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.56 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
390 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 22
33 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
04.12.2021 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
03.07.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
17.08.2015 Degerfors Degerfors 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.06.2015 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-2 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
20.09.2014 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors saw off Östersunds FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Degerfors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Degerfors and 1.00 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Östersunds FK?

Degerfors 2-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 48%, draw 27%, Östersunds FK 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Under 2.5
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