Varbergs 1-1 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 31 Aug 2024

Varbergs
1-1 HT 0-1
Utsiktens BK
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs Utsiktens BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.22
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.24
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
13%
4.02
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Utsiktens BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.25/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.36
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Varbergs vs Utsiktens BK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.06.2024 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs and Utsiktens BK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Utsiktens BK?

Varbergs 1-1 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 40%, draw 29%, Utsiktens BK 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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