Incheon United 1-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.17
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.79
X/2
17%
5.42
X/X
13%
3.91
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
15%
3.76
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 40%
-30% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
2.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.82
-33% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.4 Crosses 18.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 467
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
11.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
10.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
22.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
07.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
25.02.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-2
AWAY FC Seoul
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
327 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; FC Seoul found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 55% of the ball to FC Seoul's 45%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs FC Seoul?

Incheon United 1-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 34%, draw 26%, FC Seoul 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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