Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.2
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.83
X/2
17%
5.39
X/X
10%
3.98
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
11%
3.7
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.85/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.51
+18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 15.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
302 Passes 407
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
27.09.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
14.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
02.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
10.11.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-3 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-1
AWAY Pohang Steelers
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
417 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu and Pohang Steelers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 52% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 48%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.50 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 38%, draw 27%, Pohang Steelers 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
28 Feb 2026
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