Osijek 2-0 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.06/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.45
-35% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.4 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
334 Passes 271
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 2-2 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
14.09.2025 Osijek Osijek 4-0 HT 2-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
2-0
AWAY Vukovar
2.36 xG 0.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
277 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek saw off Vukovar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osijek as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Osijek had 47% of the ball to Vukovar's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.36 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Osijek and 1.00 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Vukovar?

Osijek 2-0 Vukovar in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Osijek 45%, draw 23%, Vukovar 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ BTTS Yes
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