Intercity Alicante 1-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.24/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.99
+8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 0-2 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
03.03.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
10.12.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 3-2 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
1-2
AWAY Ceuta
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Intercity Alicante 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ceuta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 46% of the ball to Ceuta's 54%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Intercity Alicante had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Intercity Alicante and 1.33 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Ceuta?

Intercity Alicante 1-2 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 34%, draw 28%, Ceuta 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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