Ceuta 0-2 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 24%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.88/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.22
+18% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
10.12.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 3-2 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante saw off Ceuta 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceuta and 2.00 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante?

Ceuta 0-2 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 54%, draw 27%, Intercity Alicante 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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