Real Union 1-1 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.23/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.17
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
210 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Barakaldo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2021 Barakaldo Barakaldo 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
15.11.2020 Real Union Real Union 2-1 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
08.12.2019 Barakaldo Barakaldo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
1-1
AWAY Barakaldo
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union and Barakaldo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Real Union had 48% of the ball to Barakaldo's 52%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barakaldo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Union and 2.00 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Barakaldo?

Real Union 1-1 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Union 36%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Union), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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