Celta Vigo II 3-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
2.15/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.77
+27% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
3-1
AWAY Amorebieta
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II beat Amorebieta 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 60% of the ball to Amorebieta's 40%, shots finished 18-3.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Amorebieta?

Celta Vigo II 3-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 49%, draw 26%, Amorebieta 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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