Unionistas 1-1 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.87/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.80
+3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lugo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 0-1 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
05.11.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unionistas
1-1
AWAY Lugo
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas and Lugo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Unionistas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Unionistas had 59% of the ball to Lugo's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Unionistas and 1.00 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Lugo?

Unionistas 1-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 41%, draw 27%, Lugo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Unionistas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unionistas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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