Tarazona 1-0 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.94
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.7pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarazona EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.91/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.94
-20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tarazona
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 1-1 HT 1-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS3
29.10.2023 Tarazona Tarazona 3-0 HT 2-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
22.01.2023 Tarazona Tarazona 2-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
04.09.2022 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarazona
1-0
AWAY Sestao River
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Tarazona vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarazona squeezed past Sestao River 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Tarazona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Tarazona had 52% of the ball to Sestao River's 48%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tarazona had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tarazona and 0.75 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Tarazona vs Sestao River?

Tarazona 1-0 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarazona vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tarazona 37%, draw 25%, Sestao River 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sestao River) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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