Ceuta 2-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Mar 2024

Ceuta
2-1 HT 1-0
Intercity Alicante
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceuta v Intercity Alicante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
0.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.27
-67% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 3-2 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Intercity Alicante 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante?

Ceuta 2-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 42%, draw 30%, Intercity Alicante 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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