Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.76/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.01
+31% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alcoyano
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Alcoyano
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II and Alcoyano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 63% of the ball to Alcoyano's 37%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Alcoyano?

Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 43%, draw 29%, Alcoyano 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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