Melilla 0-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 40% vs market 37.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
0.79/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.45
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-2 HT 1-1 Melilla Melilla İS3
05.01.2020 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melilla
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid II
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II edged past Melilla 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Melilla had 57% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 43%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melilla and 1.50 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Real Madrid II?

Melilla 0-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Melilla 34%, draw 32%, Real Madrid II 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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