Malaga 1-0 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.1
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 33%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +22%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.66
-100% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +69%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
0W-4D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS3
27.05.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
11.12.2022 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-1 HT 0-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
22.01.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-5 HT 0-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
22.08.2021 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-2 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-0
AWAY UD Ibiza
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malaga vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga squeezed past UD Ibiza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Malaga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Malaga had 59% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 41%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malaga and 2.00 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Malaga vs UD Ibiza?

Malaga 1-0 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Malaga 35%, draw 27%, UD Ibiza 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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