Merida AD 2-1 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.86
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.11/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.14
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
243 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
09.05.2021 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-1
AWAY Atletico Baleares
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD edged past Atletico Baleares 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 45% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 55%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Merida AD and 0.50 for Atletico Baleares.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Atletico Baleares?

Merida AD 2-1 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 48%, draw 29%, Atletico Baleares 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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