Verl 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 28 Mar 2025

Verl
3-0 HT 2-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
18%
5.19
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
17%
4.85
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
4.61
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.52/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.4 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
681 Passes 200
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
10.03.2024 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
07.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-5 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
21.01.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
29.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 HT 1-2 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
03.10.2014 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL

Verl 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
3-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
455 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl ran out comfortable winners over Rot-Weiss Essen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Verl had 64% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Verl and 0.83 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Verl 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Verl 42%, draw 30%, Rot-Weiss Essen 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Under 2.5
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