Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Oct 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
1-3 HT 0-0
Verl
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.98
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
10%
5.25
X/2
10%
6.68
X/X
15%
5.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.18
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.55
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.0 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Verl
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
07.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-5 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
21.01.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
29.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 HT 1-2 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
03.10.2014 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
04.04.2014 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-3
AWAY Verl
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
200 Passes 681
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl saw off Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Verl made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 28% of the ball to Verl's 72%, shots finished 7-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Verl led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.00 for Verl.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 35%, draw 31%, Verl 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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