Alemannia Aachen 3-1 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Oct 2024

Alemannia Aachen
3-1 HT 1-1
Unterhaching
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs Unterhaching Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.35
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
13%
4.12
X/2
8%
8.44
X/X
16%
5.17
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
8%
6.34
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Unterhaching — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.39/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.71
-21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
– Crosses 15.6
– Yellow Cards 2.8

Alemannia Aachen vs Unterhaching Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
15.09.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-3 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
05.02.2006 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
28.08.2005 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-2 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
11.02.2005 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-3 HT 1-2 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
12.09.2004 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-2 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
21.03.2004 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2

Alemannia Aachen 3-1 Unterhaching — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3-1
AWAY Unterhaching
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
227 Passes 239
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen got the better of Unterhaching 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alemannia Aachen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 47% of the ball to Unterhaching's 53%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.33 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Unterhaching?

Alemannia Aachen 3-1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 46%, draw 31%, Unterhaching 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alemannia Aachen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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