Hannover 96 II 1-4 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.79
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
7.08
X/2
10%
4.74
X/X
9%
5.27
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
23%
2.74
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 49%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.66/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.81
-50% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96 II
1-4
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
292 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 II vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld cruised past Hannover 96 II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hannover 96 II had 57% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Hannover 96 II 1-4 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 II 31%, draw 26%, Arminia Bielefeld 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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