Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.89
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.25
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
10%
6.89
X/2
10%
5.3
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
25%
2.93
2/X
6%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
0.92/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.03
-30% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 325
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-1 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
08.11.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
22.05.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
17.03.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
06.06.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-3 HT 2-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
08.11.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-0
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 438
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden edged past Dynamo Dresden 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 40% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 60%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.50 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Dynamo Dresden?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 32%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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