1860 München 2-2 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Oct 2024

1860 München
2-2 HT 1-1
Osnabrück
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

1860 München vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
12%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
9%
6.53
X/X
11%
5.2
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
9%
4.18
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.6 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

1860 München vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.15 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
210 Passes 217
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
9 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2023 1860 München 1860 München 3-0 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
15.10.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
16.04.2022 1860 München 1860 München 2-3 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.11.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
02.02.2019 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
08.08.2018 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3

1860 München 2-2 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
2-2
AWAY Osnabrück
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
421 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München and Osnabrück couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was 1860 München at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, 1860 München had 60% of the ball to Osnabrück's 40%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for 1860 München and 1.67 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Osnabrück?

1860 München 2-2 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 43%, draw 27%, Osnabrück 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (1860 München) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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