Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.35
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
10%
4.05
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.92
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.38/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.96
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.0 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.34 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-4 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
14.02.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
20.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
03.07.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
13.08.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
09.09.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-2
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.45 xG 1.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
382 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre nicked a narrow win over Defensa y Justicia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Atletico Tigre made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 60% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 40%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.45 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.00 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Atletico Tigre?

Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 40%, draw 28%, Atletico Tigre 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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