Oakleigh Cannons 3-1 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
47%
-13.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
2.37/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.40
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.3 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
173 Passes 343
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
01.04.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 HT 1-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
08.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-0 HT 2-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
02.06.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
04.03.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
04.06.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-0 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons got the better of Dandenong Thunder 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Oakleigh Cannons found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakleigh Cannons and 1.00 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong Thunder?

Oakleigh Cannons 3-1 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Oakleigh Cannons 33%, draw 33%, Dandenong Thunder 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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