Heidelberg United 3-1 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
56%
-23.1pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.21/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.47
-25% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Altona Magic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
201 Passes 250
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
10.02.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
08.07.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
09.04.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
25.06.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
27.03.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 0-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United beat Altona Magic 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Heidelberg United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altona Magic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.33 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic?

Heidelberg United 3-1 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 33%, draw 33%, Altona Magic 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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