Khorfakkan 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
16%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 56%
-18% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.28
-44% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
21.1 Crosses 16.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.59 xG 2.18
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
172 Passes 565
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-2 HT 3-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
10.05.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-3 HT 1-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
28.10.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
05.02.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 0-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
09.09.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-4 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
17.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
1-0
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
0.78 xG 1.56
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
164 Passes 464
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan nicked a narrow win over Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 30% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 70%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.78 to 1.56 — on chances, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.50 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Khorfakkan 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 27%, draw 27%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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