FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 Lida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lida EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.86/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.71
+15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lida
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Lida Lida BLR1
07.04.2024 Lida Lida 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
26.08.2023 Lida Lida 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
12.06.2022 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Lida Lida BLR1
07.11.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Lida Lida BLR1
21.08.2021 Lida Lida 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
3-2
AWAY Lida
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk squeezed past Lida 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Volna Pinsk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Volna Pinsk had 57% of the ball to Lida's 43%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 0.83 for Lida.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida?

FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 Lida in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Lida?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 47%, draw 24%, Lida 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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