Zeljeznicar 3-2 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
3%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.0pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.8pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
1.49/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.45
-19% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeljeznicar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Posusje
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
29.09.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-0 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
19.04.2024 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
26.11.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-1 HT 0-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
19.08.2023 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
19.11.2022 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-1 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeljeznicar
3-2
AWAY Posusje
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zeljeznicar vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar squeezed past Posusje 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zeljeznicar as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zeljeznicar had 51% of the ball to Posusje's 49%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Posusje led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zeljeznicar and 0.83 for Posusje.

What was the final score of Zeljeznicar vs Posusje?

Zeljeznicar 3-2 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeljeznicar vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeljeznicar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zeljeznicar 49%, draw 32%, Posusje 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeljeznicar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zeljeznicar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
28 Mar 2025
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