Siroki Brijeg 2-5 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.04/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.93
-10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.03.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
26.02.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
23.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-1 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
18.08.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
11.05.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
14.03.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-3 HT 2-2 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2-5
AWAY Velez Mostar
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar ran out comfortable winners over Siroki Brijeg 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Velez Mostar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 49% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 51%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.50 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Siroki Brijeg 2-5 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 38%, draw 27%, Velez Mostar 35%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Siroki Brijeg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
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