Siroki Brijeg 2-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.4pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 37%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.23
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-1 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
18.08.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
11.05.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
14.03.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-3 HT 2-2 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
06.03.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
26.11.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg saw off Velez Mostar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Siroki Brijeg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.83 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Siroki Brijeg 2-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 35%, draw 27%, Velez Mostar 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Mostar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSK More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup
26 Feb 2025
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