Velez Mostar 3-1 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
+32% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
11.05.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
14.03.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-3 HT 2-2 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
06.03.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
26.11.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.08.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar beat Siroki Brijeg 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.33 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Velez Mostar 3-1 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 47%, draw 28%, Siroki Brijeg 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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