Velez Mostar 1-2 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
2.22/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -77%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
23.11.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-1 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
18.08.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
11.05.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
14.03.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-3 HT 2-2 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
06.03.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg nicked a narrow win over Velez Mostar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Mostar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.33 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Velez Mostar 1-2 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 49%, draw 23%, Siroki Brijeg 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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